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Module 6 of 6 · 5 min

Tonight, for real

Everything so far ran on history. The Sun is doing something right now. End by making a real call with live data, and come back tomorrow to see if you were right.

LiveNow. Anything inbound shows as a wedge reaching Earth's orbit.
1

Read the room

—Solar wind at L1
—Bz (south is negative)
—Kp right now
—Next CME arrival

Loading tonight's outlook…

Two pictures decide a call like this one. The first is where the aurora is right now. The second is which way the magnetic field arriving at Earth points, because that is what opens or shuts the door.

IllustrationWhich way the field arriving at Earth points decides how much gets in. Flip it to see both cases.
2

Your call

Will Kp reach 5 or more (a G1 storm, aurora visible from the northern US, Scotland and Scandinavia) in the next 24 hours?

3

Tomorrow

Come back after 24 hours. This page keeps your call in this browser and scores it against the measured Kp, the same way the site scores its own alerts.

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Free storm alerts by email: a heads-up when a big Earth-directed CME launches, then a go-now when it reaches the L1 monitor. Occasional, never spam.

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